Best jumpshot for 85 3pt 2k23
the thicker the skin, the better the roast
2015.04.22 06:28 SwagmasterEDP the thicker the skin, the better the roast
Roasting (v.) - To humorously mock or humiliate someone with a well-timed joke, diss or comeback. (As defined by urbandictionary) Hone your roasting skills, meet other roasters, and get yourself roasted! Everybody needs to laugh at themselves! And other people, of course!
2011.03.07 20:48 vespera23 Reddit Fit Meals
2015.08.17 21:17 Primeira Liga Portuguesa
This community is dedicated to news, results and discussion of portuguese football, specifically about all national competitions, as well as the institutions and people that compose it. Please read our rules here before submitting or commenting posts. If you want a club flair that is not present on the list, or if you wish to have two clubs in your flair, contact the moderation and we'll arrange it for you! Thank you and have fun!
2023.06.10 06:08 bluevvitch Picked up a half ounce for $85 today, best deal I've ever gotten here
2023.06.10 05:41 CKangel Free Udemy Coupon Collections
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2023.06.10 05:41 CKangel Free Udemy Coupon Course
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2023.06.10 05:11 autotldr NATO Condemns Russia's Decision To Quit Treaty On Conventional Armed Forces In Europe
This is the best tl;dr I could make,
original reduced by 85%. (I'm a bot)
Russia has steadfastly rejected accusations it was behind the incident, and has repeatedly claimed Ukraine was at fault for destroying the dam and unleashing mass floods on the area that have forced thousands of people from their homes while creating a major environmental catastrophe.
Russian officials reported pitched battles in the Zaporizhzhya region, while Ukraine says it is making minor gains around the city of Bakhmut, which Russia claimed last month to have captured after a protracted battle that reportedly killed thousands.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy hailed the heroism of his armed forces.
Overnight, at least one person was killed and three were wounded as Russia unleashed a fresh wave of drone and cruise missile strikes on military and civilian infrastructure targets across Ukraine.
The Ukrainian Air Force said on June 9 that Russia launched 16 Iranian-made attack drones and six cruise missiles.
The drones were launched from southern Russia while the missiles were fired from Tu-95 strategic bombers from the Caspian Sea region, the air force said, adding that Ukrainian air defenses shot down 10 drones and four cruise missiles, the air force said.
Summary Source FAQ Feedback Top keywords: Ukraine#1 Ukrainian#2 dam#3 Russian#4 Russia#5
Post found in /worldnews.
NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
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2023.06.10 04:50 tones_are_hard DiD Pure Destruction HA Atronach Mage
Just ended a DiD playthrough today, an incredibly strong mage in Fellglow keep hit me with a Blizzard spell and I was knocked down and killed, from just about full health to nothing... anyways, time for a write up!
This was my second playthrough of Wildlander (first one was an Atronach spellsword that died at lvl 16), and oh boy was this fun. A pure Atronach mage has been on my list of builds for ages, well before I started Wildlander. Many said it can not be done, that is false. It can be a very strong build, but not at the beginning.
Main skills at time of Death:
- Destruction - 60 (mainly fire)
- Heavy Armor - 55
- Alchemy - 51 (if you want it to not be OP don't take the second lvl of the first perk until mid playthrough, it breaks the economy if taken early, much more fun like this)
- Enchanting - 85
- Speech - 70
- Alteration - 25
- Lockpicking - first perk
Dark Elf, started crossing the border near Falkreath.
The main problems with this build:
- Obvious one: You don't regenerate Magicka, and as a pure mage that is something that is going to limit your growth in the beginning.
- HA severely increases your Magicka costs, which can be offset by perks, enchantments, and a huge Magicka pool, but is still a problem to overcome. The benefits are great for DiD though. You can survive a lot more than a LA or Robed mage.
- Magicka potions are 33% less effective. With Magicka potions being almost the only way you can gain Magicka until the mid game, this sucks.
Now I was able to overcome each of these problems, but they all took some time.
Solutions:
- Carry 120,300 restore Magicka potions in your inventory. Always use them, hotkey them to the comfiest hotkey. The need for this never goes away (gets better later on though). When you're strong enough to beat shouting Draugr go to Solstheim and do Azhdal's quests. Do them as early as you can. You need the Ring of Arcana that gets you a flat 2 Magicka per second. This was such a game changer later in my build. I should have rushed this earlier. It won't make a difference in a fight, but it will save you a ton of Magicka potions by just waiting an hour in dungeons or after fights. Don't do the last portion of the quest though. Azhdal is a level 100 dragon priest, he will kill you if you go in there.
- Run in HA as much as you can in the early game, let yourself get hit by mudcrabs, go get HA training from the Orc near Markarth (I didn't do this last one until HA was 40 though). When you are fighting low level enemies like wolves and mudcrabs take off your armor and use destruction. Always harvest the animals in the early game, Animal Fat and Garlic/Beehive husk is your friend, and will make you a good amount of gold in the early game (never felt OP though if you follow my advice). Once you are strong enough to fight bandits (have a good amount of Magicka potions and dual cast lvl 25 Destruction spell) you need to loot their items, sell the expensive stuff, and keep the light cheap stuff. With this you'll buy the cheapest soul gems and grind your Enchanting. By 35 hours into the build I had Fortify Destruction 16% on multiple pieces of armor, so fighting became a bit easier. By the end I had used elixirs to get 21% off on my Chest piece and Helmet, as well as the 15% from Azhdal's ring and the 10% from the boots (67% reduction total). This combined with a massive Magicka pool meant I was strong enough to fight enemies 30 levels higher than me.
- Just make a ton of potions. Eventually you will run out of Mora, but don't fret. Elves ear is sold in one of the stalls in Whiterun, and in Winterhold the Dark Elf near the door to the docks sells a ton of restore Magicka potion supplies (20+ Mora, Ectoplasm, Creep Cluster, Elves Ear). Get good enchanted fortify alchemy gear as soon as you can, keep it in your inventory and put it on when you are crafting potions. By end game you'll be making potions that give you 20 magicka per second and allow you to keep casting during fights. Also quick thing, the College of Winterhold downstairs has a place to practice wards. Here you can replenish your Magicka with the 50% spell absorb, just make sure you don't do it enough to kill you. I used Transmute Blood a little bit, but ended up not liking it, felt too slow and risky.
Once this build got off its feet it was so much fun. Killed some really hard enemies (including a dragon) by level 26. Most of the difficult action started after I had 75 enchanting though. It's definitely a slow build at the beginning, but is a fun one for RP. For my backstory my Dunmer character was sent on a coming of age quest by his tribe because of dreams he's been having. He was told he had to find the Stones of Barenziah which eventually led him to Skyrim and then led him around Skyrim, doing quests at each of the places he went to. Was cool too with the journal mod.
What would I do differently though?
Play as a Breton and put my first 10 level ups into Magicka. Adding 25% spell resistance onto my endgame 39% would bring me up to a whopping 64% plus the 50% spell absorb chance. With how much magic school reduction you need on your enchanted gear having this extra MR would have probably kept my character alive right now. I also would have spent more time in different cities in the early game. Whiterun is nice and safe, but changing up your city and staying there for a few weeks makes the early game less tedious and levels you up faster. Also allows you to go back to previous places and harvest ingredients (I'm looking at you Mora).
All in all I've loved my experience playing Wildlander and have recommended it to a few friends. You guys did an amazing job bringing together the best mods Skyrim has to offer, to make the world really feel real. I sunk an ungodly amount of hours into this character over the past two weeks, and I already have an idea for a new character! And best of all, my game had a bug where Heimskr wouldn't preach in Whiterun... please don't fix it. Bliss, pure bliss.
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2023.06.10 04:11 Apprehensive_Bus9778 Lenses in Hawaii
I'm going to Hawaii next week, Pearl Harbor, water falls, the top of Maui for a sunrise/sunset. I have a D610 and D3400 for camera bodies. For lenses I have a sigma-c 150-600, tamron 2.8 70-200, 50 1.8, 24-85 3.5-4.2 VR, 18-55 DX and 70-300 DX. I was curious for anyone whose been there or sunset/rise photography what would be the best lenses to bring? Thank you for your time.
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2023.06.10 03:51 celestialluna8 Success stories with Buspar?
I understand that probably most of the posts are negative because you hear more about problems over successes but
I just started Buspar about a week and a half ago. 5mg twice a day from May 30th-June 7th and 10mg twice a day for the past couple days and for the next two weeks by my psychiatrist’s orders where we will then recheck and see how I’m doing. I was over in the Buspar subreddit and it seems like there isn’t many positives to being on this pill. I know that everybody is different but I really don’t want to waste my time if it’s an overall not very good medication.
I’ve been having brief periods of clarity since I started, between 20-60 minutes at a time but 85% of the day i am still on edge, having bad heart palpitations and pounding, feeling impending sense of doom, can’t even barely move because of my anxiety. I haven’t been prescribed anything to take in tandem with this, and I have experience with Zoloft and Lexapro but they both made me gain SO much weight and absolutely killed my sex drive plus made me feel blank? Which right now I’d almost prefer but hated it in the moment. Buspar was supposedly the next best thing since it’s the only med that specifically targets anxiety and my depression is basically non-existent, I don’t need anything that treats that. But my health anxiety and GAD is so incredibly severe I feel like I’m dying every day.
Does anybody have success stories about this medication? Tell me I’m not wasting my time! I can’t feel like this much longer.
Thank you guys!
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2023.06.10 03:28 FreEvidence IM progression
I have been thinking a lot at work about this. And want to know know if my thoughts are in the right direction, or stupid lol. I am currently base 70ish. I do not have bowfa or any zenytes.
My next goal is 85 crafting, and i think 91 thieving. Then i plan on camping wildy bosses till VW/sending a random fun ToA for fang chance. If i do this, black dhide, rune arrow, rev camp would be my money maker for whatever. Or is it atill best to just send cg then bandos and 87 slay for trident before going to toa?
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2023.06.10 03:21 Nice-Growth9860 tldr: my parting gift <3
hey yall
i wanted to make this post for someone like me who is either lurking before or after their nclex: it will be alright.
you may recognize me from the last day or so bc i have been commenting and posting up and down bc i thought i failed. went to the exam feeling confident and came out bawling after 85 qs. i feel like i had guessed every single answer, besides one lol. did the PVT and got the good pop up. however, all my friends in my state got their license within 8 hours max of passing on a weekday. definitely thought i failed and already was looking up new methods of studying. 26 hours later, i got my license emailed to me before my quick view results showed up. i beat myself up for no reason
i don't know if this will help but i just wanna put it out there. number #1 for me was trusting God. i know i didn't feel confident during this exam but i know that He made a way somehow. #2 i used half archer and half uworld. had a high chance of passing on both multiple times but nothing prepared me for the exam i took in terms of content. archer helped me in terms of format bc the nclex was vague like archer (in the questions and answers). doing continuous readiness assessments on archer really molded my mind to make best guesses even when i didn't know content. lastly, do not freak out like i did. nursing school will help during this exam. i vividly remember basing some of my answers off of lectures during nursing school.
you are amazing and you will be a great RN
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2023.06.10 03:01 EchoSi3rra I have a plan but need help with the details
I have a chunk of money sitting in my savings account doing nothing but losing money to inflation, it's time I work out the details and finally invest it.
First I'm going to set aside 6 months to 1 year of expenses and put it in a HYSA for an emergency fund but I'm unsure of what the best HYSA is. I have an ETrade brokerage account and they offer a 3.85% APY for their savings account so that would be convenient but I see there are much higher interest rates elsewhere. What's the best HYSA to set it and forget it, what HYSA do you use?
Next I'm going to take what's left over move it to my brokerage account and start buying index funds. My question is which one to buy, I see VTI, VTSAX, VOO and some others mentioned a lot. What's the difference between these index funds and how do you decide which one to start buying?
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2023.06.10 02:18 ktasay Wk 15 Power Ranking Avg. from 16 sites
16 of 17 sites published, Freeborg rankings has been dropped for lack of updates. Wk 15 covers match days 16-17, and DO NOT include the two midweek games played Wed. June 7th. Methodology, sites used / bias and link to full data are in the
source article.
Wk 15 Pos | Wk 14 Pos | Team | Wk 15 avg | Wk 14 avg | St. Dev | 2023 Avg | Wk Best | Wk Worst |
1 | 1 | Los Angeles (FC) | 1.5 | 1.47 | 0.63 | 1.41 | 1 | 3 |
2 | 2 | Cincinnati | 1.64 | 1.87 | 1.11 | 3.91 | 1 | 5 |
3 | 3 | Nashville | 3.5 | 3.47 | 0.89 | 6.34 | 2 | 6 |
4 | 4 | Philadelphia | 3.93 | 4.6 | 1.06 | 8.18 | 2 | 6 |
5 | 5 | St. Louis | 4.64 | 4.93 | 1.94 | 19.96 | 2 | 10 |
6 | 7 | New England | 6.29 | 6.47 | 1.25 | 5.93 | 4 | 9 |
8 | 6 | Seattle | 8.14 | 6.4 | 2.56 | 4.81 | 6 | 15 |
7 | 10 | Columbus | 8.29 | 11.33 | 2.49 | 10.64 | 3 | 13 |
9 | 9 | Atlanta | 9.71 | 9.2 | 4.18 | 8.33 | 7 | 24 |
10 | 11 | Orlando | 10.36 | 13 | 2 | 14.46 | 7 | 15 |
11 | 8 | Dallas | 11.64 | 8.73 | 3.32 | 10.97 | 8 | 22 |
12 | 12 | San Jose | 11.71 | 13.2 | 3.55 | 15.01 | 7 | 22 |
13 | 14 | Vancouver | 13.43 | 15.6 | 3.41 | 18.4 | 8 | 20 |
14 | 16 | D.C. | 13.57 | 15.87 | 4.72 | 20.35 | 8 | 28 |
15 | 13 | Minnesota | 16.5 | 15.13 | 3.56 | 13.09 | 13 | 25 |
16 | 14 | New York City | 17.57 | 15.6 | 4.55 | 11.6 | 9 | 25 |
17 | 19 | New York (RB) | 18.86 | 18.6 | 4.58 | 17.42 | 7 | 25 |
18 | 22 | Portland | 19.36 | 21.2 | 3.54 | 19.21 | 11 | 25 |
19 | 18 | Charlotte | 19.79 | 17.93 | 3.53 | 23.49 | 14 | 25 |
21 | 17 | Houston | 20.57 | 15.93 | 3.69 | 18.78 | 15 | 27 |
20 | 20 | Chicago | 20.71 | 19.2 | 4.99 | 20.33 | 12 | 28 |
23 | 23 | Austin | 21 | 21.33 | 3.85 | 17.74 | 14 | 28 |
22 | 21 | Montreal | 21.29 | 20.4 | 5.84 | 22.58 | 5 | 29 |
24 | 25 | Salt Lake | 21.79 | 23.6 | 3.65 | 22.36 | 15 | 27 |
25 | 26 | Kansas City | 21.86 | 24.53 | 3.3 | 24.09 | 17 | 27 |
26 | 24 | Toronto | 22.93 | 23.53 | 4.35 | 19.96 | 12 | 29 |
27 | 29 | Los Angeles (Gal) | 26.79 | 28.13 | 2.28 | 21.92 | 21 | 29 |
28 | 28 | Colorado | 27.57 | 27.6 | 2.64 | 24.76 | 18 | 29 |
29 | 27 | Miami | 27.79 | 25.07 | 1.29 | 19.85 | 26 | 29 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: CF Montreal 5.84
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Los Angeles FC 0.63
- Biggest Rise: Portland up 4
- Biggest Fall: Houston down 4
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2023.06.10 02:09 Lunardragon456 Galio doesn't fulfill his fantasy and needs help
Galio is in serious need of some help for some time, but since pros liked using him a lot for specific reasons, it was a hard sell. His winrates recently however, have shown how badly he functions in general situations while never reaching the highs that Rammus gets for constantly being used as a counterpick.
Right now, the biggest issue I have with Galio is that *really* bad at fulfilling his fantasy of being this hulking gargoyle out on the front lines. He has paper thin armor, his magic resistance isn't particularly special, his kit incentivizes poke/skirmisher interactions over longer trades, and too much of his power budget is placed into his Ult.
For a mini rework, I think a lot of his abilities should move him more towards being a tanky juggernaut rather than a mage that wins neutral with his passive shield, with more power being shifted out of his ultimate into his kit like his PC version, but instead of skyrocketing his AP ratios, the power would be shifted more towards survivability.
For example:
Base stat changes Health: Health at level 15 reduced from 2460 -> 2235 (-15 health/level)
-This is part of an overall change to nerf his pro-play tactics by reducing his shield and synergy with Font of Life.
Armor: 30-85 -> 42-111 (+12 armor at level 1 and +1 armolevel)
It's absolutely flabbergasting that Galio's armor is currently so low. He's balanced like he's a mid mage and has less armor than Enchanter supports. This buff moves him to tank/bruiser armor levels.
Magic Resistance: 38-62 -> 42-73 (+4 MR at level 1 and +.5Mlevel)
Makes his magic resistance the highest in the game. Helps offset the health nerf.
Ability changes: Winds of War:
-Tornado duration increases by .5 seconds per rank (up to 3 seconds), dealing up to 16% (+4% AP) of the target's maximum health as damage. Damage is no longer invisibly capped against monsters
-The radius of the Tornado continually expands while Galio is inside of it.
These changes are minor annoyance at best in neutral where you can easily walk out of the Tornado, but significantly strengthens Galio's sustained damage when he goes all in to force enemies to take damage from the Tornado. The damage to monsters can always be reduced if Galio becomes an overpowered jungleobjective taker, but a hard cap doesn't really make sense with how other champion kits interact with monsters.
Shield of Durand: -Passive shield strength reduced from 8/12/16/20% of Total health -> 6/8/10/12% of Total health.
-Passive shield immediately takes effect with infinite duration when charged and now continues charging while in combat. The passive shield will not trigger again until the current shield expires.
-Triggering Galio's trait when this passive is fully charged will consume his current shield, restoring health equal to the remaining value and allowing a new shield to take effect.
-Nearby spell casts and magic damage taken increase the speed at which the passive charges by 200% for 1 second. Duration stacks up to 4 seconds.
-Active physical damage reduction now scales with (8%) bonus armor and Active magic damage reduction scales with (10%) bonus magic resistance.
-Active damage reduction now persists for twice the Taunt duration (1-3 seconds)
There's a lot of changes to take in here so I'll make a bullet list for what these changes entail:
- The Nerf to the shield strength brings it more in line with PC levels, drastically reducing the shield given by his ultimate.
- Galio can now essentially have 2 shields back to back, giving him a higher shield total for himself.
- Galio can eat his shield to sustain himself in lane, giving him better longevity against opponents that don't even deal magic damage in the first place.
- The fact that the shield charges while in combat and even more when abilities and magic damage are flying around replaces the skirmisher playstyle it encourages currently, encouraging Galio to play more aggressively instead of trying to avoid any damage until his shield is back up.
- Galio is now thematically stronger against champions he should be good against. When Swain activates his ult and starts radiating magic energy everywhere, Galio is there soaking it up.
- The active mitigation is split into two parts and allows tank Galio to counter build against whoever he's up against similar to how Rammus doesn't get MR from building armor. This is a general buff for Tank Galio.
- The damage reduction persistence has been ported over from the PC version and now tied to taunt duration. His PC version had a .9AP(!) ratio tied to a max charge taunt which we don't want, so tying the DR duration to the taunt instead is a better fit.
Overall, these changes would help transition Galio from a neutral focused mage, looking to make favorable trades until he's able to go in, into a much more aggressive brawler playstyle that forces his opponent to commit to trading aggressively else he will outsustain them, which in turn, creates more opportunities for Galio to punish mistakes. Coupled with the nerfs to the aspects for which he is taken in pro play (high health for Font of Life + Ult shield to make his team incredibly durable against Duo APCs) these buffs would help bump up his winrate without making him a must pick at the highest tier.
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2023.06.10 02:03 Fun-Breakfast-9404 Beneficiary for thrift savings. Would inherited IRA be best option?
Hi,
My Father sadly passed away a few months ago. I found out that he had left me as a beneficiary for his thrift savings plan. He was a retired government employee. The total amount is a little over $50k. I'm in my late-twenties and still finishing my bachelors degree. I have about a year left. I'm also going into a field that is more art driven (film) and I likely won't be making a very lucrative income after graduating (perhaps around $40k a year). I really want this money to be put to good use. I have a remaining college debt of about $22k in federal loans, which will probably be around the same after graduation. I'm currently single and don't plan to purchase a house/have kids etc. in the near future. I more so plan to live in an apartment, perhaps a shared one, for awhile until I can make a decent living. I was planning to perhaps use some of the money to help pay off my college debt, and the remaining as an emergency fund, maybe even putting withdrawals into a HYSA.
I've spoken with some financial advisors, and most of them advised me to open an inherited IRA. If I withdrew the money as a lump sum into a bank account, there would be 20% withholding. But if I rolled it over into said IRA, I apparently wouldn't be taxed unless I took money out of it. I'd have to take all the money out of the IRA within 10 years however. I calculated it, and at my current tax rate (I make minimum wage currently, so about 12%), it seems that I'd lose about the same amount to taxes over time as the 20% withholding would be. That's why I wanted it to accrue interest in the IRA. Unfortunately, Merrill Lynch, who I spoke with, said I'd need to use an advisor and pay a fee at .85% annually to do so, as it, being an inherited IRA, can't be invested passively without continuously meeting with an advisor. Some of the advisors I've spoken to at Merrill also seemed a bit unknowledgeable of my situation as well, which set off some red flags in my head. But maybe I'm paranoid/have had bad luck?
I was curious what would be best to do with this money so I can earn interest over time and make it useful. Would an inherited IRA be my best bet for that?
Thank you.
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FinancialPlanning [link] [comments]
2023.06.10 01:23 Dear-Bus-3500 Xbox settings
Hello all I’ve been on a settings grind today trying to see what feels best. I use 85 for H/V 100 AAS 100 AAW 100 AAEI 10 AS 75 AEI. There are times my tracking feels too fast or the sun feels wobbly in certain fights. So for sure looking for some help.
I tested out a really low Vertical sens it kinda felt nice i average like 35-45% accuracy every game but feel that I’m missing a few key shots. Just getting back into OW competitively and wanna get into it feeling right!
Appreciate the help in advance!
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2023.06.10 01:09 lbabinz [Amazon] Weekly Video Game Price Drops (June 2 - 9)
Item | Price | MSRP | % Off | History* |
Air Missions: Hind - Nintendo Switch | $44.99 | $45 | 0% off | Lowest price $42.5 on 2023-2-20 |
Airoheart - Xbox One & Xbox Series X | $42.49 | $45 | 5% off | New Lowest |
Aksys Games Under Night In-birth Exe: Late [cl-r] Collector's Edition Ps4 | $67.98 | $80 | 15% off | Lowest price $55.62 on 2021-3-11 |
Aksys Games Under Night In-birth Exe: Late [cl-r] Nintendo Switch | $51.03 | $55 | 7% off | Lowest price $41.53 on 2021-7-11 |
Alfred Hitchcock Vertigo - Xbox One & Xbox Series X | $24.36 | $60 | 59% off | New Lowest |
Alice Gear Aegis Cs: Concerto Of Simulatrix - Nintendo Switch | $46.74 | $50 | 6% off | Lowest price $41.57 on 2023-5-16 |
Amd Ryzen 9 7900x3d 12-core, 24-thread Desktop Processor | $724.00 | $750 | 3% off | Lowest price $707.99 on 2023-5-12 |
Anno 1800 Console Edition - Xbox Series X | $39.99 | $45 | 11% off | New Lowest |
Art Of Rally Collector's Edition - Playstation 4 | $68.39 | $90 | 24% off | New Lowest |
Assassin's Creed The Ezio Collection - Nintendo Switch | $29.99 | $50 | 40% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2022-11-28 |
Atari 50: The Anniversary Celebration - Nintendo Switch | $39.99 | $45 | 11% off | Matches low |
Autonauts - Playstation 4 | $31.61 | $35 | 9% off | Lowest price $17 on 2023-5-1 |
Back 4 Blood Ultimate Edition - Playstation 5 | $19.99 | $122 | 83% off | New Lowest |
Bassmaster Fishing 2022 Super Deluxe Edition - Nintendo Switch | $34.93 | $45 | 22% off | Lowest price $29.95 on 2022-12-1 |
Bayonetta™ 3 - Standard Edition | $54.99 | $60 | 8% off | Lowest price $49.99 on 2023-4-5 |
Beyond A Steel Sky - Nintendo Switch | $23.89 | $30 | 20% off | Lowest price $20.66 on 2023-4-5 |
Biomutant Atomic Edition - Xbox One | $287.99 | $365 | 21% off | Lowest price $107.91 on 2023-1-19 |
Blade Assault - Nintendo Switch | $39.77 | $40 | 0% off | New Lowest |
Bud Spencer & Terence Hill - Slaps And Beans 2 | $39.65 | $40 | 0% off | New Lowest |
Burnout Paradise Remastered Nintendo Switch Games And Software | $24.97 | $40 | 37% off | New Lowest |
Call Of Duty Modern Warfare 2 - Playstation 4 | $67.20 | $85 | 20% off | New Lowest |
Call Of Duty Modern Warfare 2 - Xbox One & Xbox Series X | $71.16 | $85 | 16% off | Lowest price $59.96 on 2022-11-24 |
Charade Maniacs Nintendo Switch | $64.99 | $65 | 0% off | Matches low |
Chorus Xbox | $21.50 | $30 | 28% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2022-9-27 |
Clash: Artifact Of Chaos - Zeno Edition (ps4) | $35.18 | $45 | 21% off | New Lowest |
Clive N Wrench Collectors Edition Playstation 5 | $79.04 | $80 | 1% off | Matches low |
Cobra Kai 2 Dojos Rising - Playstation 5 | $31.12 | $45 | 30% off | Lowest price $29.96 on 2022-11-29 |
Colors Live Nintendo Switch | $59.22 | $80 | 25% off | Lowest price $34.95 on 2022-11-28 |
Commandos 2 & 3 Hd Remaster Double Pack - Xbox One | $44.94 | $45 | 0% off | Lowest price $31.43 on 2023-4-17 |
Crypt Of The Necrodancer Collectors Edition - Playstation 4 | $34.29 | $60 | 42% off | Lowest price $22.96 on 2022-6-1 |
Cuddly Forest Friends Nintendo Switch | $47.05 | $50 | 5% off | Lowest price $43.9 on 2023-5-16 |
Curse Of The Sea Rats - Nintendo Switch | $49.15 | $50 | 1% off | Lowest price $42.22 on 2023-5-17 |
Cyberpunk 2077 - Xbox One | $27.83 | $30 | 7% off | Lowest price $19.96 on 2022-8-19 |
Date A Live: Rio-reincarnation - Playstation 4 | $35.23 | $50 | 29% off | Lowest price $24.99 on 2020-6-18 |
Days Gone - Playstation 4 | $29.99 | $30 | 0% off | Lowest price $9.99 on 2023-2-17 |
Death Stranding Director’s Cut - Playstation 5 | $29.99 | $50 | 40% off | Lowest price $29.95 on 2022-11-17 |
Deathloop - Playstation 5 | $12.78 | $75 | 82% off | New Lowest |
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Lg 27gp850-b Ultragear Gaming Monitor 27” Qhd (2560 X 1440) Nano Ips Display, 1ms Response Tim, 165hz Refresh Rate, Nvidia G-sync Compatible, Amd Freesync Premium, Tilt/height/pivot Adjustable Stand | $449.99 | $450 | 0% off | Lowest price $449 on 2021-6-23 |
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No Man's Sky - Playstation 5 | $54.99 | $75 | 26% off | Lowest price $39.95 on 2022-11-20 |
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Persona 5 Royal: Standard Edition - Nintendo Switch | $68.86 | $75 | 8% off | Lowest price $39.96 on 2022-11-21 |
Pga Tour 2k23 - Xbox One | $29.99 | $75 | 60% off | Matches low |
Playstation Psvr Marvel's Iron Man | $14.99 | $30 | 50% off | Lowest price $14.95 on 2021-11-18 |
Potion Permit - Playstation 4 | $42.43 | $45 | 5% off | New Lowest |
Powera Controller Charging Base For Nintendo Switch | $29.99 | $35 | 14% off | Matches low |
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Rabbids: Party Of Legends - Xbox One | $29.99 | $30 | 0% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2022-11-28 |
Rainbow High Runway Rush Nintendo Switch | $49.99 | $50 | 0% off | New Lowest |
Rainbow High Runway Rush Playstation 4 | $49.99 | $50 | 0% off | New Lowest |
Rainbow High Runway Rush Xbox Series X | $49.99 | $50 | 0% off | New Lowest |
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Resident Evil 2 - Playstation 4 | $36.99 | $60 | 38% off | Lowest price $27.29 on 2022-6-24 |
Resident Evil 7: Biohazard Document File | $34.00 | $38 | 10% off | Lowest price $23.13 on 2021-6-27 |
Riders Republic - Playstation 4 | $29.99 | $40 | 25% off | Lowest price $24.99 on 2022-11-18 |
Riders Republic - Xbox One & Xbox Series X | $29.99 | $40 | 25% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2022-11-28 |
Rock Of Ages 3: Make & Break Switch By Modus | $21.36 | $45 | 52% off | Lowest price $20.81 on 2021-10-29 |
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Seagate Firecuda 530 1tb Internal Solid State Drive - M.2 Pcie Gen4 ×4 Nvme 1.4, Transfer Speeds Up To 7300mb/s, 3d Tlc Nand, 1275 Tbw, 1.8m Mtbf, Heatsink, With Rescue Services (zp1000gm3a023) | $164.99 | $240 | 31% off | Matches low |
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Session: Skate Sim - Playstation 4 | $39.95 | $55 | 27% off | New Lowest |
Sifu Vengeance Edition - Nintendo Switch | $57.51 | $60 | 4% off | Lowest price $52.09 on 2023-4-14 |
Skyrim Anniversary Edition - Playstation 4 | $22.53 | $40 | 43% off | New Lowest |
Spooky Spirit Shooting Gallery Nintendo Switch | $45.95 | $50 | 8% off | New Lowest |
Star Ocean The Devine Force - Xbox One & Xbox Series X | $34.99 | $75 | 53% off | Matches low |
Star Wars Jedi Fallen Order Playstation 4 | $28.01 | $40 | 29% off | New Lowest |
Streets Of Rage 4 Xbox One - Standard Edition Edition | $60.78 | $61 | 0% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2023-4-13 |
Super Bullet Break - Day 1 Edition - Playstation 4 | $43.89 | $45 | 2% off | Lowest price $38.86 on 2023-5-4 |
Tactics Ogre Reborn - Nintendo Switch | $39.99 | $60 | 33% off | Matches low |
Tandem: A Tale Of Shadows - Playstation 4 | $20.60 | $55 | 62% off | Matches low |
Tekken 5 (original Soundtrack) (vinyl) | $43.70 | $90 | 51% off | New Lowest |
Temtem Xbox Series X | $34.90 | $50 | 30% off | New Lowest |
The Callisto Protocol Standard Edition Playstation 4 | $41.99 | $75 | 44% off | Lowest price $29.99 on 2023-4-30 |
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The Dark Pictures House Of Ashes - Xbox One & Xbox Series X/S Edition | $34.85 | $35 | 0% off | Lowest price $9.97 on 2022-11-11 |
The Dark Pictures: The Devil In Me - Playstation 4 | $33.98 | $50 | 32% off | New Lowest |
The House Of The Dead Remake Limidead Edition - Playstation 4 | $43.88 | $45 | 2% off | Lowest price $42.5 on 2023-4-24 |
The Legend Of Zelda: Skyward Sword Hd - Nintendo Switch Games And Software - Standard Edition | $68.68 | $70 | 1% off | Lowest price $54.95 on 2022-2-17 |
The Quest For Excalibur: Puy Du Fou - Playstation 4 | $15.02 | $20 | 24% off | Lowest price $12.88 on 2023-2-22 |
The Wild At Heart Playstation 4 | $33.58 | $40 | 16% off | Lowest price $26.38 on 2022-2-4 |
Them's Fighting Herds Deluxe Edition - Playstation 4 | $36.78 | $45 | 18% off | Lowest price $29.95 on 2022-11-20 |
They Always Run - Playstation 4 | $30.91 | $35 | 11% off | New Lowest |
Thymesia - Xbox Series X | $26.62 | $35 | 23% off | New Lowest |
Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games - Xbox Series X | $26.92 | $50 | 46% off | Lowest price $9.97 on 2022-7-29 |
Transformers Battlegrounds - Nintendo Switch Games And Software | $34.99 | $35 | 0% off | Lowest price $19.99 on 2021-11-24 |
Tribes Of Midgard: Deluxe Edition - Playstation 4 | $25.50 | $35 | 27% off | Lowest price $21.3 on 2022-10-10 |
Two Point Campus: Enrollment Launch Edition - Nintendo Switch | $43.60 | $45 | 3% off | Lowest price $34.96 on 2022-11-21 |
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Wd_black 1tb Sn750 Se Nvme Ssd With Battlefield 2042 Game Code Bundle - Gen4 Pcle, Internal Gaming Ssd Solid State Drive, M.2 2280, Up To 3,600 Mb/s - Wdbb9j0010bnc-nrsn | $98.87 | $200 | 50% off | New Lowest |
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Wrc Generations - Xbox Series X | $37.34 | $45 | 17% off | New Lowest |
Wwe 2k22 Deluxe Edition - Xbox Series X | $35.82 | $120 | 70% off | New Lowest |
Xbox Elite Wireless Controller Series 2 – Core (red) | $152.99 | $175 | 12% off | Matches low |
Xbox Elite Wireless Controller Series 2 For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices - Black | $199.98 | $200 | 0% off | Lowest price $183.81 on 2020-5-4 |
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Xbox Wireless Controller – Remix Special Edition For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices | $84.99 | $95 | 10% off | Matches low |
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Xbox Wireless Controller – Velocity Green For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices | $59.99 | $70 | 14% off | Lowest price $59.96 on 2023-5-10 |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices - Pulse Red | $59.99 | $60 | 0% off | Lowest price $59.96 on 2022-8-19 |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Carbon Black | $59.99 | $65 | 7% off | Lowest price $59.96 on 2022-9-16 |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Deep Pink | $59.99 | $70 | 14% off | Lowest price $59.96 on 2022-8-22 |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Electric Volt | $59.99 | $60 | 0% off | Lowest price $59.94 on 2023-4-12 |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Robot White | $49.99 | $65 | 23% off | New Lowest |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Shock Blue | $59.96 | $70 | 14% off | Matches low |
Xbox Wireless Controller For Xbox Series X/S, Xbox One, And Windows Devices – Stellar Shift Special Edition | $64.99 | $75 | 13% off | Matches low |
*History is a beta feature, only goes back as far as I've been tracking this item, and may not be 100% accurate
submitted by
lbabinz to
VideoGameDealsCanada [link] [comments]
2023.06.10 01:01 Little_Acanthaceae87 Tips to improve stuttering from the book: Coping with stuttering (acceptance doesn't mean resignation; work on your acceptance, psychological adjustment and view/response to the feared word; don't wait on a miracle recovery; change your self-image; change the stutterer within you; reduce scanning)
This is my attempt to extract tips from
this free stutter book (
pdf version).
Intro:
- People who are not familiar with stammering have no idea what it is like to have a full-blown adult stammer. They think it is a small interruption of the speech flow, causing the speaker to feel vaguely inconvenienced and that sometimes it is done deliberately for effect. Little do they know (page 30)
- Lay opinions on the origin and treatment of stuttering abound. Many people believe that all stutterers are shy, or insecure or lacking in confidence and that this is the cause of stuttering (in fact these ‘causes’ are usually consequences of the disorder) (page 36)
- In spite of this ignorance it would seem that some people have benefited from lay methods. I (referring to the author of the book) have known a medical practitioner who overcame his stutter. He told me that he was cured by a teacher who believed in the sink-or-swim approach. This teacher forced him to speak out in class, to read aloud and to give speeches as often as possible, apparently on the assumption that this would make him less shy. He described this therapy as hell on earth, but it did cure his stutter. Similar cures, though few in number, do appear in the textbooks on stuttering. How can this be explained? It may be that the enforced public speaking improved the doctor’s confidence, thus lowering his tension levels below his threshold (see the chapter ‘A Possible Cause of Stuttering’ for details of this theory of stuttering). Consequently the stuttering reflex was not adequately activated and in time disappeared. This is not to say that forced speaking will benefit all stutterers. Forced public speaking may well be so traumatic as to increase tension and aggravate the stutter
- Due to the fact that stuttering is stress-related, natural recovery is usually difficult to achieve (page 40)
- A large part of stuttering consists of learned behaviour and conditioned responses. As a result treatment can become very complicated (page 42)
- Tension (which usually makes stuttering particularly bad) may serve as a distraction (page 48)
- A fluency technique can serve as a distraction, resulting in a temporary improvement in his speech – not necessarily due to the effectiveness of the technique, but because it distracts his attention from feared sounds. This feature complicates the extent to which the effectiveness of techniques can be proved. In other words, the lengths to which people will go to rid themselves of stuttering defy credibility (page 49)
- There is a lot of research on stuttering. The big question that nevertheless remained unanswered was: What exactly is the stutterer struggling against? (page 54)
- One eventually becomes very conscious of the air pressure in the mouth. High air pressure in the mouth indicates that airflow is inadequate (page 172)
- According to Schwartz there are two reflexes: hereditary (where tension results in contraction of the vocal cords) and learned (where contraction of the vocal cords results in struggle behaviour). (page 55). Tension is mostly learned, and the freeze response may be hereditary. (page 85) In my opinion: I disagree, I argue that the 'freeze response' of the laryngeal, respiratory and articulatory muscles are also learned behaviors and not hereditary. My hypothesis is that unhelpful beliefs/attitudes may have resulted in physical tension (or physical pain) which in my own experience is headache tension; inhibiting execution of motor movements (aka a speech block or silent block) is simply done to alleviate this physical tension in this hypothesis. The main question is then: How did this physical SUDDEN pain begin/manifest? What do you think? Answer: perhaps the sudden pain manifested from:
- unhelpful reacting/thinking to pressure or anticipation
- giving up on applying fluency laws (e.g., by blaming other factors or having no confidence to instruct to execute motor movements) and therefore feeling hopeless what to do as intervention
- adopting an unhelpful attitude of relying on thoughts, feelings, sensations and experiences when trying to unblock
- linking self-esteem to speech performance
- conclusion: I argue that above four reasons are merely excuses. I believe, if we reinforce these unhelpful beliefs/attitudes (such as blaming the freeze response on other factors), then it may eventually lead to the subconscious mind being riddled with conditioned stuttering responses. However, I hypothesize that this physical pain is mainly manifested from the unhelpful learned behavior: measuring air pressure during a speech block. In other words, I hypothesize that my stutter disorder was developed by replacing a helpful attitude ('deciding' or 'instructing' to execute motor movements) with an unhelpful attitude (measuring glottal air pressure to decide whether to initiate speech movements or not)
- Therapies focus more on the ‘stutter more fluently’ (or easier stuttering) approach in contrast with the ‘speak more fluently’ approach (page 56). In my opinion: it may be more effective to focus on (1) stress management, and (2) maintaining the forward flow of speech. Likely, if we avoid #2 (focusing on maintaining the forward flow of speech) when doing stress management, it may make us more sensitive to fluency (even though we become more tolerant against stuttering). In my opinon, completely replacing #2 with #1 is what led us to develop a stutter disorder to begin with
- Stuttering is a complex combination of psychological and physiological problems. It becomes very difficult to prove any particular theory of stuttering. (page 57) If I stuttered, I saw myself as a stutterer; if I saw myself as a stutterer, I stuttered. One problem perpetuated the other (page 69)
- Stress is known to affect people both psychologically and physically. It can cause muscular spasms in the back, shoulders or neck, often resulting in muscular pain. Some people develop ulcers, spastic colons or tension headaches. In my opinion: When I got past my 'stuttering anticipation', I entered my next stutter phase where I was able to feel headache tension. As explained here, I currently experience that I 'freeze' speech muscles (aka blocking) in order to reduce this pain; so an unhelpful (habitual) belief/attitude leads me to block (or to inhibit execution of motor movements)
- Types of stress affecting speech: (page 70)
- situational stress
- word or sound stress
- authority figure stress
- uncertainty stress
- physical stress
- speed stress
- external stress
- communicative stress
- linguistic stress
- speech stress
- emotional stress
- Habits begin as spiderwebs, and become cables, such as conditioned speech fears, conditioned struggle behaviors, learned stress patterns, and self-image (page 108)
- Two causes of relapse: 1) the subconscious reaction of the self-image, and 2) failure to practise regularly and maintain the newly acquired fluency (page 164)
- A PWS has a subconscious image of himself as a stutterer. So, if the stuttering stops for long enough, it is as if the subconscious becomes ‘worried’; it receives a message that the status quo is changing. The subconscious then tries to restore the status quo by increasing base-level tension. This higher base-level tension has a twofold effect: renewed stuttering, plus a disruption of the newly acquired fluent behaviour. As a result the PWS resumes his stuttering and the subconscious is ‘reassured’. This subconscious reaction is often responsible for the many relapses demoralising us. So, change the subconscious in a more gradual manner, minimising psychologically-based relapses. Techniques are for example: visualisation, stress management, improving self-image, and minimising any subconscious reactions (page 165)
- Don’t be discouraged (in order to reduce stress)
- Tension is often the result of the body’s response to a real or perceived threat. Change can also be perceived as a threat. Change involves unfamiliarity and uncertainty, the underlying question being: ‘Will I be able to cope with the new situation?”
- Stress is relative
- Tension isn’t necessarily inherently harmful. Some amount of tension is normal. It provides the energy we need to tackle new challenges. Without it, life would be dreary and aimless. The goal should therefore be to control and not eliminate tension. So, identify the cause of stress (page 188)
- Most stress has been learned, and can therefore be unlearned. If you always get tense when in a shop (even when not speaking), you can try to weaken this conditioned response
- Self-image is the product of your perceptions of the way others react to you. For example, parents expressing their concern or disapproval directly, or indicating it with their body language. This may lead to intense shyness and feelings of inferiority and guilt, and may lower self-confidence, which is part of the self-image (208)
- A poor self-image can have a negative effect on one’s behaviour and achievements and set in motion a vicious circle. Psychologists report that the self-image affects virtually every aspect of life, and that many psychological and physiological problems have their origin in a poor self-image (209)
- One would expect that, should our fluency improve, the self-image would automatically follow and get better. However, that’s not at all a foregone conclusion (page 210)
- PWS may find it difficult to really come to terms with his new fluency achieved. If we speak fluently, we likely think: "But this isn’t me!". Resulting in not applying stress management, and then begin to stutter. Conclusion: it may be more effective to change your self-image, and rethink the old, negative stutterer’s self-image – and rather start working toward a positive self-image of yourself as a slow, but fluent, speaker (page 211)
- You are what you think (212)
- By seeing yourself as a ‘stutterer’, you may be perpetuating the stutter itself (215)
- Being positive reduces tension
- Critics leaning toward the ‘conditioning and learned behaviour’ explanation of stuttering have in fact pointed out that artificial stuttering could reinforce the stuttering (261)
- Reacting to stuttering in an emotional way increases tension
- Reasons why PWS may choose to stop practicing, after a relapse:
- practicing takes too much time or effort
- expected a miracle
- stuttering was easier than the hard work required
- did not find stuttering such a handicap
- the psychological transition from stutterer to a more fluent speaker may have been too much (breaking away from the ‘stutterer’s mentality’ is a long-term process requiring a sense of purpose and willpower)
- fear of freedom or fear of the unknown, such as "‘I’d rather stay here, in a world that I know. Yes, I stutter, but I can cope to some extent."
Tips: - reduce and control stuttering and stress and reduce detrimental psychological and social consequences
- work on your sensitivity to stress, the strength of the vocal cord closures, and personal determination
- replace speech fears with ‘speaking confidence’ (the previously feared situations or words no longer cause tension) (page 99)
- stress-desensitise yourself in problematic speaking situations
- work on acceptance of and psychological adjustment to the defect. Don't wait on a miracle cure (page 100)
- set limited, well defined goals (it may be more realistic to aim at success in a particular problem area) (page 102)
- create a good self-image (If you want to become more fluent, first ask yourself a very basic question: Do you REALLY want to stop stuttering?) (page 110)
- openness about stuttering
- emotional self-control
- time, energy, motivation and perseverance (note, it’s not difficult to learn a new speech technique, even though it requires a lot of effort. The real challenge is to apply the technique in real-life speaking situations, when it is easy for your conditioned reflexes and fears to simply take over) (148)
- distract your attention away from the feared word (page 116)
- don't stare like a robot
- use a mirror to monitor your posture
- move your hands, head and eyes freely and naturally
- take note of how others use body language when they speak, and imitate it (page 117)
- low energy speech is soft, with minimal movement of speech motor movements
- knowing what to do and having the technique immediately available are two different things. Having the technique available means you have practised it sufficiently (page 121)
- reduce scanning
- reduce avoidances
- the mouth should be in a relaxed and neutral position
- apply variations to counter monotony (page 128)
- work on your word fear e.g., by reading pages with many B sounds (page 129)
- toughening exercise: goal is to resist speaking pressure. A friend peppers you with questions aimed at exerting as much pressure as possible. The answer should be a complete sentence. Your friend should occasionally interrupt you, so that you then stop immediately and pause briefly before answering
- role-playing exercise: you pretend to be in a restaurant, to place your order. Other role-playing could be ordering food from a busy hostess; explaining a problem to an impatient shop assistant; an interview with your boss; a conversation with a stranger who has lost his way; an argument with an aggressive traffic officer, policeman or neighbour; a conversation with a foreign customs official who hardly speaks English; a conversation at a noisy party – you want to introduce your wife or girlfriend to the others; testifying in court; apologising to your dentist for being late for your appointment, read an excerpt from a short play
- visualisation exercise: instead of ‘seeing’ yourself stutter, see yourself speaking slowly and in a relaxed manner. This prepares your subconscious. It should be as realistic as possible and as true to your life. Imagine feeling relaxed, confident in yourself and your speech, being in control, and satisfied (page 235)
- resist relapse (page 164)
- develop a fluency-enhancing lifestyle (page 169)
- your technique should not become an obsession – it should be part of a holistic approach
- guard against exaggerated speech control (because you may lose all spontaneity and merely increase your base-level tension)
- establish comfortable eye contact
- enter a contract (e.g., with your friend or yourself) to reinforce your strategy. This falls under an operant conditioning strategy (258)
- practice classical conditioning by applying association to learn helpful behaviors. Research found that both types of conditioning play an important role of stuttering behaviour. For example, if you practice where you usually have difficulty speaking, then in this way you may begin to associate your strategy with the 'classroom' or 'office' (258)
- don’t fight your way out of a block
- don’t go back to words that have already been said
- consider yourself a former stutterer to prevent relapse (page 180)
- change the stutterer within you (page 182)
- develop a positive and flexible attitude
- sometimes it is better to take a tolerant or fatalistic view of a situation, or to accept the problem, perhaps in terms of religious beliefs. Research has shown that deeply religious people are less susceptible to stress (189)
- when under stress, always ask yourself: Is this really important enough to worry about?
- try to establish what it is that you do wrong. Compare your stuttering behaviour with the normal pronunciation of sounds. You will notice that during stuttering you do far more than is required to pronounce that specific sound. Try to reduce those excessive activities (206)
- accept that you have the right to make mistakes and fail. Making mistakes is part of the learning process. Be gentle with yourself; be your own best friend. You also have the right to stutter, and the right to not stutter or apply stress management, you have the right to choose (229)
- grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change; the courage to change the things I can; and the wisdom to distinguish between the two.--- Traditional prayer (241)
- don't hate your stuttering, if you stutter. Instead identify the particular type of stress involved: word/sound stress, situation stress, etc
- acceptance doesn't mean resignation (241)
- don't overreact (243)
- unlearn secondary characteristics. Start by changing, delaying or weakening this secondary behaviour, rather than attempting to eliminate it all at once. You can also unlearn a learned stress response in a shop for example (259)
- work on your fears of the way others will react to your speech, fear of stuttering and fear of silences occurring in speech (Sheehan's approach) (261)
- you can try clinical hypnotherapy, where you are awake and in control to use this state of relaxation to access the subconscious and ‘reprogramme’ issues such as, shyness, stress, lack of confidence. Anti-stuttering hypnosis can assist PWS address the underlying stressors that contribute to stuttering (262)
- be your own speech therapist (290)
TL;DR summary: In summary, this post discusses various insights and tips from a free stuttering book. It highlights the misconceptions about stuttering and explores the causes and treatment options. The book emphasizes the importance of stress management, maintaining a positive self-image, and setting achievable goals. It suggests techniques like stress desensitization, role-playing exercises, visualization, and classical conditioning to improve stuttering. Additionally, it also addresses relapses and the need for perseverance and commitment to the chosen strategies.
I hope you found these tips helpful! If you also want to write tips from stutter books, here are many free PDF ebooks about stuttering that you can read. submitted by
Little_Acanthaceae87 to
Stutter [link] [comments]
2023.06.10 01:00 Evan_Veet Playoff Stats Deep Dive: Pre-Masters Tokyo
With Master’s Tokyo on the way, I felt like it was the perfect time to revisit something I’ve been very interested in for a while now, and something that gets underrated by many fans in the Valorant community, playoff performance. Similar to how the NBA operates, Valorant has many stars that shine bright in regular season games, but struggle when it matters most (I’m looking at you Joel Embiid).
For this post, I’ve compiled data dating back to Stage 2 Reykjavik in 2021 and took the stats from playoffs of every LAN since then. I defined playoffs as past group stage for every LAN but Lock In and Reykjavik, where I choose to use the games from the last 8 remaining teams. This is why you won’t see stats for players from EDG or Furia, as they have made LANs but never advanced to playoffs.
Methodology: As previously stated I was only looking at playoff stats, how players play against the top 8 teams in the world at the time. Now I am a man with a job and other social responsibilities, so the statistics are not in-depth, and that’s why I will make a disclaimer right here. This is not a perfect representation of player skill and I am not claiming that my results are gospel, I’m simply having fun and compiling data about my favorite game. Now for how I collected it…
I took the rating from every game of every player of every match played in playoffs. 44190 rounds over 77 games played over 7 LANs. The metric I used was VLR rating, as that is the most accessible site to navigate and the most general stat you can find to correlate player skill. As I said in my disclaimer, this is not a perfect rating, if I was doing something like baseball it would be very easy with something like Wins Above Replacement(WAR), but Valorant doesn’t have that. For now, this will have to do. From there, I took every game that a player played and averaged it out. For players like the old Guild roster(excluding Leo because of his FNC run) it was as simple as averaging two different games and coming up with a number. For a team like the Optic core, however, it was a 17-game average. In general, using map vs overall game averages had little effect apart from maybe a .01-03 rating difference, and I for sure do not have enough time to go through literally every map. I will also be using 200 rounds as the cutoff point for all of my data, as that includes the G2 core of Avova Nukkye and Mixwell who have been to two playoffs and cuts off Kryptix and V1 who only played once over 2 years ago. Thus…. Onto the data.
The Data: TL:DR Links
This spreadsheet can summarize all that I am saying. It has data of every player ever and sorts out different categories I will talk about.
First things first: The best of the best
Of all players with 200 or more rounds played, the best-rated playoff player is….
TENZ With a 1.27 rating over 249 rounds, the Sentinels star duelist is the best performer by .2 points and it’s not too much of a surprise. Tenz has played in 2 playoffs, Stage 2 and 3 of 2021, and amassed 244 kills in 249 rounds over that span. Obviously, his Stage 3 was much worse than his Stage 2, but with the best performance ever at a LAN, it makes sense that he’s at number one.
As for players with over 400 rounds, and who I would truly crown the king of playoff games it's…
CHRONICLE With an insane 1.25 rating and 620 rounds played, Chronicle is by far the most consistently good player when it matters most. He’s my personal pick for GOAT of the game, and it makes sense why. The only player with 2 championships and one of only 4 to go to three grand finals. Chronicle has done it playing nine different agents across every role, most notably with his Sova, Brim, and Viper. The best flex in the world will be playing in Tokyo with a chance to bolster his crazy numbers even more.
The next two players are probably no surprise, as
NATS and
YAY round out the top 4. Both considered to be the two best players during their year of terror, Nats boasts a 1.21 rating with Yay at a 1.18. Yay also is tied with Marved for 4th most rounds of all time, only behind the Optic trio that stayed with NRG and played in Lock In “playoffs”. Both are in contention for the highest individual peaks of all time alongside the two ahead of him.
Rounding out the top 10 is:
Scream (1.18)
Leo (1.17)
Sacy (1.15)
Shahzam (1.15)
Cryo (1.14)
Shao, Cned, and Sick tied at (1.12)
Shaz is the only IGL on this list, and surprisingly not a single smokes player is in the top 10, with Mako being the closest at 15th. Duelist and Sova players by far reign supreme, as they account for 10/12 players I listed.
Now for the not so good, the worst performers in the playoffs. With over 200+ rounds the worst performer was…
DELZ1K The former KRU controller has an abysmal .79 rating over 222 rounds. The sample size is small with only one large showing in a tournament at Champions 2021, but the now free agent was the only player with an under .8 rating. For context, that is nearly the same rating as dephh in 2023.
Of players with over 400 rounds, #1 is
ANGE1, but it is kind of unfair since he is an IGL, so of non-IGLs the worst is…
RB Maybe a surprise to many, but the Korean flex has been awful when it matters most. Boasting 895 rounds played, tied for 9th most, he has a .85 rating, by far the lowest with Jamppi at .93 being the closest non-igl with >400 rounds. He’s someone that’s consistently in the conversation for top 3 flex player, but I’m not sure that’s merited when he’s .12 rating points lower than his closest teammate and IGL.
Some other notable names include:
Ange1 (.8)
FNS (.83)
Shyy (.86)
BcJ and Zekken (.93)
Masters Tokyo The top 10 players going into Masters Tokyo are
- FNC Chronicle 1.25
- TL Nats 1.21
- FNC Leo 1.17
- FNC Derke 1.12
- NAVI Shao 1.12
- NAVI Cned 1.12
- LOUD Aspas 1.11
- DRX Mako 1.1
- PRX F0rsaken 1.09
- LOUD Less/NAVI Suygestu 1.08
TL Sayf additionally has a 1.3 rating from his time with Guild but with just 100 rounds he doesn’t meet the criteria
The bottom 10 players are
- NAVI Ange1 .8
- NRG FNS .83
- DRX Rb .85
- TL Jamppi .93
- LOUD Saadhak .94
- TL Soulcas .96
- DRX Stax .97
- NRG Victor .97
- DRX Buzz .98
- NRG Crashies .99
Some surprising names on this list but only 31/60 players have over 200 rounds that are going to Masters Tokyo, so this list features many familiar faces, most surprisingly the NRG duo as well as Buzz.
Ethan at .9 with 108 rounds and s0m at .97 with 78 rounds would also be here.
Teams at Tokyo On average, the highest-rated team at Tokyo is unsurprisingly Fnatic with a crazy 1.13 avg playoff rating. Liquid comes in at second with a 1.09, likely boosted by prime Nats and Sayf’s low rounds. FUT, EG, EDG, and ASE don’t have enough players to rate, so NRG is the lowest-rated team with an average rating of .97. DRX comes in at second with .98
The most experienced team is NRG with 4175 rounds combined, with DRX and FNC both barely eclipsing 3500 in 2nd and 3rd place. FUT, EDG, and ASE have 0 combined, and EG and T1 both have under 200. By far the most inexperienced 5 teams at the event, with PRX coming in 6th with 1812 rounds.
The best playoff performers not at Tokyo are:
- Tenz
- Yay
- Scream
- Sacy
- Shahzam
Sacy, Scream and Tenz could all technically make Champions with upset LCQ runs.
Overall Takeaways: Rb is one of the worst playoff performers and is an anomaly among players that have as much play time as him.
TL, FNC, and NAVI have three of the most talented rosters of all time on paper, all in the same region.
Peak SEN was extremely talented, as was GMB, but only playing 2 LAN playoffs as teams means it’s impossible to truly know how good they could’ve been.
Optic core is definitely hurt by the sheer rounds they’ve played. Marved, Crashies, and Victor all have surprisingly low numbers, but it’s likely because they play so much more than anyone else that their stats regress to a more general mean.
Scream is probably one of the more underrated individuals, and it's a shame this is where his career has gone. Consistently amazing at LAN but has never really had the collection of 5 or an IGL to work with him.
Though not mentioned in this post, D3ffo’s 1.11 ACS in playoffs is crazy, especially considering he was putting up <1 rating during EMEA league play
Conclusion: So WTF was the point of all of this work?
Well… I don’t really know. It’s not perfect data, but it does give a general idea of some key things to look out for in Tokyo. I think some players are personally very overrated, and some don’t get the respect they deserve when it comes to LAN performances, and this practice did give me some clarity on certain individuals.
Either way, it was a fun exercise and hopefully you’ve at least skimmed through a lot of this. I truly suggest you at least check out
this spreadsheet because it shows literally 139 players' worth of data, so your favorite player is likely on this. It also shows some things I didn’t bring up because this is already an essay, like each role at Tokyo and player comparisons. In general, I really like posts like these and hope to see more of them as Tokyo is happening as statistical analysis in Valorant is still very minimal, and this really basic post hopefully makes some people interested.
If you have any questions about literally anything on this post, from a singular player u want to know about to my methodology I’ll try to respond to comments.
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2023.06.10 00:45 Unpop9000 in search of a 31.5"/32" QHD 165Hz monitor. i'm out of ideas, need help
My current monitor: a 27" QHD 165Hz from Asus (PG278QR). it has a TA Panel.
Viewing Distance: 28" (71cm), can go to 38 to 40".
What i play: mainly shooter games like Returnal, SW:BF2, Doom Eternal and Classics like Thief (Gold). Secondary games are Everspace 2, Alien Isolation, RDR2, Control, Powerwash SimulatoGas Station Simulator, HZD, NFS:Heat. sometimes Anno 1800.
What i want: going bigger while staying with the 16:9 ratio on QHD. i prefer G-Sync compatibility and a matte display.
No-gos: curvatures. no curving or 3000r only.
budget: about 400 euros. can be a bit more if needed and it's worth it.
i already took a look around a bit (for days). so my first fever-dream would be a LC-Power LC-M39-QHD-165-C. 39 inches with 165Hz. it has only 3000r curving. And it's currently 380 Euros.
But it's white styled, has an unknown VA Panel, rare reviews, has Freesync only. and maybe it's actually just a bit too big for QHD even if i set it back like 37-39" away. no idea about that one. would love some input on this. but this would be some heck of a display despite the 76ppi, which i could alleviate with like 39" viewing distance idk.
Next one would be the Samsung G7. can get it second-hand for about 320 to 360 Euros here in my region. besides all the goodness the 1000r curve is awful. also it seems to have a high RMA quote for things like scanlines, flickering etc. i have no interest in gambling for a functioning product and the curve is a no-no anyway.
Then there is the MSI Optix MAG321QR (sometimes named MAG321QRDE, what's the difference?), it ticks almost all boxes. 32", QHD, IPS, 165Hz, G-Sync, no curve, also well reviewed amongst buyers on major sites selling those here.
Is the MSI any good? it's 85 Euros above my budget (currently 485). This is where i don't know what to look for anymore. if the MSI one is the best for my profile, i will save up to it, but if not i would like some recommendations.
submitted by
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2023.06.10 00:00 ChronoisCross1999 Ideas for New Evolutions for Old Pokemon for Gen 10 Australia Based Region Part 1: Kanto Pokemon
So I've had some ideas for evolutions that could be given to old Pokemon from Gens 1-7 for an Australian based region ever since shortly after Gen 8 released, but never really posted them online because I wasn't sure what the rules for posting fanmade Pokemon ideas with their abilities, stats and inspirations were, but with the moderate success of my posts for my ideas for starters and story path ideas on this sub, I've decided to go ahead and post my ideas for 29 new additions to previous Pokemon lines that aren't regional or paradox forms, but are actual additions to the evolution line like Annihilape, Farigiraf, etc. from Gen 9.
What I'll be doing in this series of posts is gradually going through the first seven generations of Pokemon and choosing which Pokemon would be best suited to gain an evolution based on the wildlife and ecological conditions in Australia, as well as a few that I just think deserve to be buffed due to them being kind of underwhelming despite having a lot of potential.
I'll be listing what their classification in the Pokedex would be, how they factor into the previous evolution line, their abilities, their fully evolved stats (as well as how much that stat increased or decreased from its previous stage in parentheses beside it), and any other relevant notes explaining the evolution and what new role they could factor into. Also keep in mind that the Base Stat Total for these Pokemon will for the most part stay between the 500-530 range because of the Astral Ascension mechanic of the region allowing the temporary use of a Pokemon's second ability in battle, but there will be exceptions if the evolution is a gender counterpart evolution of an existing Pokemon or if I feel their stats should be slightly highelower than that range depending on what would fit their existing design.
Before getting into the evolution descriptions, if you haven't seen my other posts on an Australian based region detailing my ideas for starters and the possible story paths that could be included, they can be found by following the links below. Without further ado, let's get into the new evolutions!
Gen 10 Starter Ideas:
https://www.reddit.com/TruePokemon/comments/13p5z88/ideas_for_gen_10_starters_for_an_australianbased/ Gen 10 Story Path Ideas:
https://www.reddit.com/TruePokemon/comments/13zwjs2/ideas_for_the_three_story_paths_for_gen_10_for_an/ ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Ampereow (Fearow Evolution) Classification: Thunder Bird Pokemon
Evolution Line: Spearow (Normal/Flying)- Fearow (Normal/Flying) (Evolve at Level 20)- Ampereow (Electric/Flying) (Evolve Fearow with Electric Astral Type at Lightning Ridge)
Abilities: Volt Absorb/Sniper
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 85 (+20)
Attack: 110 (+20)
Defense: 75 (+10)
Sp. Attack: 50 (-11)
Sp. Defense: 75 (+14)
Speed: 120 (+20)
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 515 Other Notes: This might be the most out of left field evolution out of all the 29 Pokemon that I've chosen to give evolutions, but it goes to show how much of an impact the Dream World in the Auborn region can have on non-native Pokemon. It is thought that Ampereow first came into existence when a flock of Fearow flew south from Kanto for the winter, eventually landing in the Lightning Ridge mountain region (based on Thunder Ridge, an actual mountain in Australia). Upon landing there, they realized that they couldn't resist the strong lightning energy present in the area, but some of the Fearow felt an innate connection with the electricity present, and when they came into contact with some dream energy, they felt a strong desire to gain the electric type so they could be more like the legendary Pokemon Zapdos back home, which caused them to evolve into Ampereow. This population would remain in the Auborn region, while the other Fearow who didn't have the Electric Astral type went back to Kanto for the summer.
Getting to the battle side of things, I felt like Fearow deserved to get more attack and speed to become a more effective sweeper to help it gain some relevance again after Pidgeot got its own mega evolution back in Gen 6, while Fearow got nothing, and it has since been outclassed by some of the other regional birds as well, which made me think it deserved to get a third stage in its line. Upon Evolution, Ampereow will learn the signature move Thunder Flap, which is a physical Electric type move with 80 base power that deals either electric or flying type damage depending on what is most effective on the opponent. This move will not ignore the Ground-type immunity of electric type moves, however.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Nogard (Arbok Evolution) Classification: Dragon Serpent Pokemon
Evolution Line: Ekans (Poison)- Arbok (Poison) (Evolve at Level 22)- Nogard (Poison/Dragon) (Level Up + Hold Dragon Scale)
Abilities: Intimidate/Shed Skin/Unnerve
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 80 (+20)
Attack: 115 (+20)
Defense: 85 (+16)
Sp. Attack: 50 (-15)
Sp. Defense: 85 (+6)
Speed: 100 (+20)
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 515 Other Notes: This is the only idea that isn't my own, since I've seen the concept of having a Dragon/Poison type evolution for Arbok before called Nogard, which is dragon spelled backwards, but it just worked too well for an Australian based region like Auborn, so I decided to include it anyway. The stat spread and decision to keep all the abilities the same were all my own, though. With Nogard, I felt like Arbok really only needed a slight buff to its stats across the board to become more viable, along with it gaining the dragon secondary type for added offensive capabilities, which has only been used before for Dragalge and Naganedel.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Paraspect (Parasect Evolution) Classification: Mush Reaper Pokemon
Evolution Line: Paras (Bug/Grass)- Parasect (Bug/Grass) (Evolve at Level 24)- Paraspect (Bug/Ghost) (Learn Spore Scythe + Level Up)
Abilities: Effect Spore/Dry Skin/Cursed Body
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 80 (+20)
Attack: 115 (+20)
Defense: 90 (+10)
Sp. Attack: 80 (+20)
Sp. Defense: 90 (+10)
Speed: 60 (+30)
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 515 Other Notes: Parasect might be one of the worst Pokemon that were introduced in Generation 1. It had three 4x weaknesses to Fire, Flying, and Poison (Bug was weak to Poison in Gen 1) and although one of its quad weaknesses was reduced to a double weakness, it really hasn't gotten that much better, especially when compared to the glow-up that regional bugs got in Gen 5 and 7. With this project, I wanted to add in a few Dual type combinations that haven't been used yet as well as ones that have only been used once previously, which is what I did here with Paraspect, since only Shedinja has the Bug/Ghost typing as of Gen 9, and it's a gimmick Pokemon. Parasect will learn Spore Scythe at Level 36, which is a signature move that has 60 base power and is a Grass type attack that has a 10% chance of putting the opponent to sleep. Paraspect has a similar backstory for its evolution to Annihilape, where upon learning Spore Scythe it realized how much the spore on its back was taking advantage of it, so the spirit of Parasect decided to take back control of the husk it used to call its body, leading to it evolving into Paraspect.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Manatey (Dewgong Evolution) Classification: Manatee Pokemon
Evolution Line: Seel (Water)- Dewgong (WateIce) (Level Up to Level 34)- Manatey (WateFairy) (Evolve Dewgong w/Fairy Astral Type)
Abilities: Thick Fat/Hydration/Water Absorb
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 100 (+10)
Attack: 60 (-10)
Defense: 90 (+10)
Sp. Attack: 90 (+20)
Sp. Defense: 105 (+10)
Speed: 70 (+0)
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 515 Other Notes: Dewgong is another one of those Gen 1 Pokemon that wasn't very memorable when it was first introduced due to being outclassed by nearly every other Water or Ice type in the game, and it hasn't really improved since then. Manatey improves on this by giving it a more memorable design, which I imagine would draw inspiration from mermaids like Primarina's design to reference the fact that manatees were commonly mistaken for mermaids in the past. It also gains two immunities to Water and Dragon thanks to both its ability and its new fairy typing, which replaced its Ice type for better defensive utility. With its new typing, it'll take 1.0 damage from Ice type attacks because of Thick Fat, but now Fire-type attacks also only deal 1.0 damage rather than the 2.0 it used to because of its secondary Ice typing, which also helps to make it a bit tankier overall.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Insomneous (Hypno Evolution) Classification: Nightmare Tapir Pokemon
Evolution Line: Drowzee (Psychic)- Hypno (Psychic) (Evolve at Level 26)- Insomneous (Psychic/Dark) (Learn Nightmare + Level Up)
Abilities: Insomnia/InfiltratoInner Focus
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 105 (+20)
Attack: 60 (-13)
Defense: 100 (+30)
Sp. Attack: 93 (+20)
Sp. Defense: 125 (+10)
Speed: 47 (-20)
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 530 Other Notes: Hypno always felt like it got the short end of the stick, even when it was first introduced in Generation 1. It could be caught later than Abra, which outclassed it due to it being faster, and it only got worse as the generations went on, with it losing its base 115 special in favour of 115 special defense, and with the Psychic type in general becoming less relevant as the generations went on. With this evolution, I wanted to focus on making it more of a tank to differentiate it from other heavy hitting Psychic types, and its Forewarn ability was replaced with Infiltrator because it's infiltrating the dreams of its opponents. Its design expands on the yo-yo it held while it was a Hypno by drawing inspirations from both ventriloquists and clowns, which are common fears that people tend to have.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kangaskid (Kangaskhan Pre-Evolution) Classification: Baby Kanga Pokemon Evolution Line: Kangaskid (Normal) (Breed Kangaskhan and Kangasking)- Kangaskhan (Normal) (Max Friendship w/ Female Kangaskid) OR Kangasking (Normal/Ground) (Max Friendship w/ Male Kangaskid)
Abilities: Early Bird/Scrappy/Inner Focus
1st Form Stats: HP: 75
Attack: 65
Defense: 50
Sp. Attack: 30
Sp. Defense: 50
Speed: 60
1st Form Base Stat Total: 330 Other Notes: Kangaskhan has always felt like it needed a pre-evolution, since it's baby is quite literally already in its pouch when it hatches from an egg, and the mega-evolution it received in Gen 6 didn't help matters at all. To justify giving it a baby form, I also gave it a split Male/Female Evolution.
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Kangasking (Kangaskid Male Evolution) Classification: Parent Pokemon Evolution Line: Kangaskid (Normal) (Breed Kangaskhan and Kangasking)- Kangaskhan (Normal) (Max Friendship w/ Female Kangaskid) OR Kangasking (Normal/Ground) (Max Friendship w/ Male Kangaskid)
Abilities: Moxie/Scrappy/Inner Focus
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 90
Attack: 105
Defense: 80
Sp. Attack: 40
Sp. Defense: 80
Speed: 95
Fully Evolved Base Stat Total: 490 Other Notes: The male counterpart to Kangaskhan is more attack focused and is slightly faster than it, while also gaining the ground-type for STAB ground coverage, with the added bonus of having Moxie to increase its sweeping potential over Kangaskhan. Aside from that, it has the same base stat total as Kangaskhan.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Calfierce (Tauros & Miltank Pre-Evolution) Classification: Fierce Calf Pokemon
Evolution Line: Calfierce (Normal) (Breed Tauros & Miltank)- Tauros (Normal) (Learn Wild Charge + Level Up Male Calfierce) OR Miltank (Normal) (Learn Rollout + Level Up Female Calfierce)
Abilities: Intimidate/Scrappy/Sap Sipper
1st Form Stats: HP: 50
Attack: 65
Defense: 65
Sp. Attack: 30
Sp. Defense: 45
Speed: 75
1st Form Base Stat Total: 330 Other Notes: Tauros & Miltank have always felt like they should be related in some form, since they have the same base stat total and are generally found in similar locations in the games, and are usually even side by side in the regional Pokedex of games that they both appear in, but no connection has ever been canonically established between the two. Adding in Calfierce would allow trainers to gain access to the family earlier than they typically would while also not handing the player a single stage Pokemon with high stats that would steamroll the early game.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Mytheon (Eevee Dragon-Type Evolution) Classification: Legend Pokemon
Evolution Line: Eevee (Normal)- Mytheon (Dragon) (Level Up + Hold Dragon Scale)
Abilities: Multiscale/Pure Power
Fully-Evolved Stats: HP: 95
Attack: 60
Defense: 65
Sp. Attack: 130
Sp. Defense: 65
Speed: 110
Fully-Evolved Base Stat Total: 525 (585 when factoring in Pure Power) Other Notes: The Dragon-type is the only one of the original special attacking types from the first three generations that doesn't have an Eeveelution, so I decided to rectify that with Mytheon. To commemorate the 10th Generation of Pokemon as well as having to wait nearly 30 years to get it, Mytheon technically has the highest base stat total out of all the Eeveelutions when factoring in Pure Power, which doubles Mytheon's Base attack from 60 to 120. It also has a gimmick with its abilities where you essentially have to decide whether you have double attack or double defense (at full HP only), giving it good synergy with the new Astral Ascension gameplay mechanic.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________
And there you have it. Part 2 of this series will focus on the evolutions for the Johto and Hoenn Pokemon, so look forward to seeing that in a week or two. I'm interested in hearing your thoughts on these evolutions in the comments!
submitted by
ChronoisCross1999 to
TruePokemon [link] [comments]
2023.06.10 00:00 FappidyDat [H] TF2 Keys & PayPal [W] Pixel Pride
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2023.06.09 23:42 DaddyDersch All eyes on CPI and FOMC next week… 6-9-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Weekly Analysis and Recap
| So I want to first start this off by clearing a few things up… Wednesday I made a post looking for $400 basically by middle of July… then what happened over night? Well yesterday markets called for a pump so I had to be bullish for today… there is a very different time frame to have on some of these posts… that $400 target is a 30-45dte target… however, I still have overnight and intraweek moves that may inverse that… This market is ruthless and can not make its mind up for more than a minute sometimes… With that being said I am bearish for Monday… based on todays technicals… we will get to that but lets talk about CPI and FOMC first… EVENT CALENDER https://preview.redd.it/h2j8ct01b25b1.png?width=877&format=png&auto=webp&s=0c88129a853071180476451ebdba535d96ad0abd CPI/ FOMC https://preview.redd.it/epnnu9i1b25b1.png?width=723&format=png&auto=webp&s=363ef59544492ab0f570b355ad1f14796c72491b I am waiting on bloomberg terminal numbers right now… hoping to get them this weekend (if anyone has access DM me… if not I gotta wait on one of my other sources)… but the way im seeing it right now is that cleveland fed nowcast and consensus are all pretty much spot on… the biggest thing to note here is that CPI is calling for a print in the 4s… we even if all goes well could see a print in the 3s! that would be wild to be honest… also note for next month nowcast is already calling for a 3.3% CPI print! So the question is how do we trade this and what is the market going to do? Well I would NOT trade this at all… why? Simple… its been months since we have had a decent reaction that would make the risk to reward of the payout worth it… Now how will the market react? https://preview.redd.it/ukw2n8x1b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=cbec2abd702de7190336c1fcd7f5ce99995434e0 As you can see here the last month things have been very up and down… but as of current time of writing this… the markets see the highest odds of a PAUSE at this meeting next week… now this is where I still think the markets have it wrong… there has been ZERO indication for JPOW about a pause… pretty much every time JPOW himself has actually spoken he has ALWAYS said he is going to do a 25bps hike and that there is NO RATE CUTS this year… now this is really where I think markets have it all wrong… The markets were pricing in 75bps of cuts by EOY… Impressively… the markets now have the highest odds of NO RATE CUTS by end of year.. I do think the markets finally have this correct… however, while the odds may be correct now…. I do not see the markets reacting correctly… I do think if JPOW hikes 25bps on Wednesday (which is highly probable in my opinion) that we will see a negative reaction to that… but I do see that as a likely call entry opportunity whenever that sell off stops… SPY DAILY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/eq39fsf2b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=8db68d3693dde741680ca86cfb08e1fb41ef3ce1 Well after putting that 426.6 demand in we have now immediately turned around and put a new supply in at 429.13… however, do you see the issue with it? We are imbalanced.. why? Simply because today we are going to close higher than where the supply is put in… that means markets will need to come back down OR immediately turn around and make a new demand Monday… One interesting thing is that since pretty much April 26th SPY has not broken through a previous demand after establishing a supply… what do I mean… I mean lets take that 410.2 demand… after markets put that in and put in a new supply (was around 420) the markets held that 420.1 demand and did not close below it… we have been stair stacking (bullishly) new demands since 404 area. However with 3 supplies here at this 428-430 area now this has become one extremely strong resistance… SPY WEEKLY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/6tg0dd43b25b1.png?width=803&format=png&auto=webp&s=169aac84ff1ca9949b436c88028dc45ef5ccf1c1 There is actually no changes to the weekly time frame here… we closed over previous supply and did not put in a new supply… DMI remains overbought and SPY remains ready to put in a new supply on any red week… SPY DAILY PRICE ACTION https://preview.redd.it/p62k1wl3b25b1.png?width=946&format=png&auto=webp&s=d26669c8f512d99cf9a548fbfafc27818a754fe5 SPY daily here remains in this black bull channel that it has been in since May 23rd… we also have the bigger broad red/blue bull channel since March 8th… Now this is a CLASSIC bearish reversal pattern with this evening doji star closure… we also once again failed to close over 430.. We did close higher than the august 16th closure but we did not close over 430 yet again… this would be 4 failed rejections in the last 5 trading days from closing over 430. I would not be surprised to see price come back down to 426.5 demand (support) or perhaps 428 supply on Monday… however, I do forsee it still being bullish… honestly until this black bull channel is broken and really until we close under the daily 20ema this remains bullish and dips remain call opportunities… SPY WEEKLY PRICE ACTION https://preview.redd.it/r3p5obe4b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=b8e465acd110eabd4cb74d244142f9a6c1616385 I think this weekly chart clearly shows the overall trend and shows everything the best… Here you can see since the beginning of march we have been in this blue bull channel. Until SPY breaks under that weekly support (419 for next week) as you can see by the wicks this remains a buy the dip market… we also have a large red/ blue rising wedge that we have been trading within since middle of September… that resistance sits at 436.1 for next week. SPY WEEKLY LEVELS Supply- 416.08 -> 427.35 -> 453.23 Demand- 411.57 -> 381.74 Support- 428.2 -> 422.1 -> 418.6 Resistance- 430 -> 436.9 -> 444.3 FUTURES DAILY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/dipki9w4b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=0683dd8fe15b3a5c26c7d4af16187b935e653850 Not surprisingly here futures followed suit of SPY and also put in a new supply at 4298. We actually are imbalanced on futures which does not usually happen. So that will be interesting to watch get sorted out over next week.. as of right now futes minimally needs to close under 4299 in order to be balanced. 4312 is the supply and resistance from the august high and we once again failed to close over that level… it is safe to assume for now 4312 is strong resistance. FUTURES WEEKLY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/68hwi3g5b25b1.png?width=872&format=png&auto=webp&s=d76cd94049299ac20a595cb65b68df41acca2d62 No changes to futures weekly supply and demand… we are attempting to make 4284 into a support, however, it is not set up to turn it into a demand which would be incredible bullish. NOTE ON FUTURES- on tradingview (where I primarily chart) the contracts rolled over night and when that happens the charting is always messed up for about a week because there was about a 100pt gap up due to that… there is a way to adjust for contracts but none of my levels are adjusted for that so it would throw everything off… for now I wont be including Futes daily or weekly price action until things normalize some… I will not include support/ resistance either as it is incorrect. FUTURES WEEKLY LEVELS- Supply weekly- 4193 -> 4284 -> 4540 Supply daily- 4240 -> 4292 -> 4298 -> 4312 Demand weekly- 4130 -> 3921 Demand daily- 4273 -> 4188 QQQ DAILY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/sjlguh16b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=3b233a830548e89abd8036fe6bf877e137426937 Now I said yesterday I was VERY bullish on QQQ and that I was looking for 358-361… we ended up coming super close at open with hitting 357.66 but we did come up and retest that 357.09 supply and once again failed to break through and close over that level… we actually have really turned 354.95 supply into a major resistance here with this being the 5th rejection in 6 days at this level… Now we did put in a new demand at 349.06 today… however, I will say I am VERY bearish on QQQ for Monday… I would not be surprised at all to see QQQ come back down to at least 351 on Monday… If you look at QQQ objectively since 5/26 it has been holding within a 347.93 to 357.09 range for 10 closes in a row now… this right now is our consolidation period/ range… QQQ likely could drop down to 350-351 Monday and could possibly put in a new supply at 354.5 area.. if it did that then we absolutely would look for 348-349 to bounce us and look to long it back to 357. However, IF we can retrace to 349-351 and not put in a new supply I would actually be even more bullish and would look for 361.7 demand to be taken out next week. Now daily DMI is waving up which is bullish and we did hold the daily 8ema today… however, that massive evening doji star bearish reversal candle certainly should result in a drop… daily also broke extreme bull momentum… QQQ WEEKLY SUPPLY AND DEMAND https://preview.redd.it/knxrjnq7b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c72f8bb4736e6e6aaf6eb7859f7b294094ed6e9 Now on QQQ weekly here this is looking far more bearish… we just put in a double top with back to back dojis with a weekly supply at 354.65. This is our first supply since the first week of May. Now only that but we also have a weekly DMI wave down forming here on QQQ. I will say though that despite this bearish set up that we have here… QQQ weekly remains in extreme bull momentum (despite the daily losing it) which means the weekly 8ema likely will be support on any retrace… that weekly 8ema should sit somewhere near 340 next week. Impressively QQQ weekly has NOT broken through the 8ema since the first week of may (5 weeks in a row) and we have not closed under the weekly 8ema since the week of March 6th. As you can see we are working on a yellow rising wedge since the week of December 12th. For me we have that 330.67 supply to keep an eye on next week… However, that would not only break the weekly 8ema but would also break the 6 month long rising wedge support… I do not think QQQ has seen the weakness and top to do that… likely weekly support will sit at 337.7 at the lowest next week but I will look for 339-340 to be a bounce point. On the upside if we immediately bounce higher next week we actually could turn this weekly 354.65 supply immediately into a demand which would be incredibly bullish. Upside resistance of the wedge sits at 359.94 and we have a weekly supply at 361.85 to keep an eye on. QQQ WEEKLY LEVELS Supply- 330.67 -> 354.65 -> 361.85 Demand- 322.47 -> 316.18 VIX https://preview.redd.it/lxrruca8b25b1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=8cdb883c72a724b9d035f9b9825f04e850167823 Even though it looked like the VIX would never recover and was just going to keep falling and falling and falling…. We actually did it… we actually put in a new daily demand (support) on the VIX at 13.62! This is our first demand the VIX has put in since May 18th… Fun fact about the VIX and putting in Demands (taking the move from low to high of when VIX puts in a demand till its next supply)… March 6th= VIX +65.6%, SPY -6.5% March 14th= VIX +34.1%, SPY -2.5% March 21st= VIX +16.9%, SPY -2.3% April 4th= VIX +8.1%, SPY -1.42% April 6th= VIX +9%, SPY +0.71% April 18th= VIX +20%, SPY -2.9% May 1st= VIX +37.2%, SPY -3.3% May 11th= VIX +9.6%, SPY -0.6% May 18th= VIX +29.9%, SPY -2.6% This is becoming my new favorite thing to do… What does this show? On average over the last 9 times the VIX has put a new demand (support) in it has bounced 25.6% and SPY has fallen -2.38%. There is one time in April though where SPY did randomly push higher despite the VIX pushing up 9%... But what does this mean? Well this means that if this plays out like normal the VIX will see around $17 and SPY could drop to $421.7 before we put a new supply in on the VIX (I will calculate that out once that happens). Now thre is always the chance with low daily volatility and daily/ weekly extreme bear momentum that we do not do that and immediately turn around and put a new supply in… but I will say since November there has not been a time we have seen with the supply indicator this low that we have immediately turned around a put a new supply in… The highest probability is that we see a bounce here on the VIX and drop on SPY… we also broke the 12 day long bear channel today… the next step is for bears to close VIX over the daily 8ema and this should breakout. Next week with CPI and FOMC truly could be really spicy… WEEKLY TRADING LOG https://preview.redd.it/uw0rcrs8b25b1.png?width=974&format=png&auto=webp&s=8aefe1f710dd06c7c3f4258929ba4b9cba7c5561 Well I wasn’t supposed to be trading today… but ended up getting home earlier than expected and was able to get some solid trading in today. Today was a refreshing breath of air after getting absolutely wrecked yesterday… today was perfect trading and felt perfect to trade, however, after about 145 I will say that we once again say internals not matching correctly… Overall I failed to reach my weekly profit goal but on an extremely positive note here I was able to break the curse of Fridays by putting in a green day (even after realizing my tsla loss). This close out as a nice green week and I am not too upset with the results especially after how brutal yesterday was. I have now been green for the last 10 weeks in a row which is one week shorter than my longest weekly streak in 2022! I hope you guys all have a great weekend and I will see you guys next week! submitted by DaddyDersch to Daytrading [link] [comments] |
2023.06.09 23:42 Allkeyshop_official Free Games this week! - June 9, 2023
| Original Post: LINK 🍿 Watch it now! > https://youtu.be/C_-auF70N9M 📅 The 3 Games Not To Be Missed This Week Tell Me Why Tell Me Why is an episodic adventure game from Dontnod Entertainment that has won a lot of awards. It is about two twins who use their supernatural connection to find out the truth about their difficult past. NBA 2K23 In NBA 2K23, you need to step up. Use MyCAREER to show off your skills. In MyTEAM, you can pair All-Stars with legendary players from the past. In MyGM, you can start your own empire, and in MyLEAGUE, you can change the way the NBA works. In PLAY NOW, you can play against NBA or WNBA teams and feel like you're in a real game. Payday 2 PAYDAY 2 is an action-packed four-player co-op shooter where players can once again put on the masks of the original PAYDAY crew, Dallas, Hoxton, Wolf, and Chains, and go on an epic crime spree in Washington, DC. Free Games Allkeyshop Allkeyshop - CD Key and Steam Key Price Comparison Allkeyshop (AKS) started in 2014 to help gamers find the best games at the lowest prices available from all around the world. Today, AKS is the leader in the industry for CD key price comparison and we have the biggest selection of deals for games and software – all at the lowest prices possible. 📟 Make Sure To Install Our AKS Browser Extension 🎉 Participate in our AKS Daily Reward Program - Everyday 30 Winners submitted by Allkeyshop_official to allkeyshop [link] [comments] |